This book deals with a basic problem arising within the Bayesian approach 1 to scientific methodology, namely the choice of prior probabilities. The problem will be considered with special reference to some inference methods used within Bayesian statistics (BS) and the so-called theory of inductive 2 probabilities (T/P). In this study an important role will be played by the assumption - defended by Sir Karl Popper and the supporters of the current verisimilitude theory (VT) - that the cognitive goal of science is the achievement of a high degree of truthlikeness or verisimilitude. A more detailed outline of the issues and objectives of the book is given in Section 1. In Section 2 the historical background of the Bayesian approach and the verisimilitude theory is briefly illustrated. In Section 3, the methods used in TIP and BS for making multinomial inference~ are considered and some conceptual relationships between TIP and BS are pointed out. In Section 4 the main lines of a new approach to the problem of the choice of prior probabilities are illustrated. Lastly, in Section 5 >the structure of the book is described and a first explanation of some technical terms is provided.
Produkteigenschaften
- Artikelnummer: 9789048143184
- Medium: Buch
- ISBN: 978-90-481-4318-4
- Verlag: Springer
- Erscheinungstermin: 07.12.2010
- Sprache(n): Englisch
- Auflage: 1. Auflage. Softcover version of original hardcover Auflage 1993
- Serie: Synthese Library
- Produktform: Kartoniert, Previously published in hardcover
- Gewicht: 330 g
- Seiten: 194
- Format (B x H x T): 155 x 235 x 12 mm
- Ausgabetyp: Kein, Unbekannt
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