Humans have always been hopeless at predicting the future…most people now generally agree that the margin of viability in prophecy appears to be 1 ten years. Even sophisticated research endeavours in this arena tend to go 2 off the rails after a decade or so. The computer industry has been particularly prone to bold (and often way off the mark) predictions, for example: ‘I think there is a world market for maybe five computers’ Thomas J. Watson, IBM Chairman (1943), ‘I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won’t last out the year’ Prentice Hall Editor (1957), ‘There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in their home’ Ken Olsen, founder of DEC (1977) and ‘640K ought to be enough for anybody’ Bill Gates, CEO Microsoft (1981). 3 The field of Artificial Intelligence – right from its inception – has been particularly plagued by ‘bold prediction syndrome’, and often by leading practitioners who should know better. AI has received a lot of bad press 4 over the decades, and a lot of it deservedly so. How often have we groaned in despair at the latest ‘by the year-20xx, we will all have…(insert your own particular ‘hobby horse’ here – e. g.
Produkteigenschaften
- Artikelnummer: 9783642059421
- Medium: Buch
- ISBN: 978-3-642-05942-1
- Verlag: Springer
- Erscheinungstermin: 07.12.2010
- Sprache(n): Englisch
- Auflage: 1. Auflage. Softcover version of original hardcover Auflage 2004
- Serie: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing
- Produktform: Kartoniert, Previously published in hardcover
- Gewicht: 522 g
- Seiten: 325
- Format (B x H x T): 155 x 235 x 19 mm
- Ausgabetyp: Kein, Unbekannt
Themen
- Mathematik | Informatik
- EDV | Informatik
- Informatik
- Künstliche Intelligenz
- Wissensbasierte Systeme, Expertensysteme
- Mathematik | Informatik
- EDV | Informatik
- Angewandte Informatik
- Computeranwendungen in Wissenschaft & Technologie
- Mathematik | Informatik
- EDV | Informatik
- Angewandte Informatik
- Computeranwendungen in Wissenschaft & Technologie