60 -I 137.0~29 ERROR BARS • tONE (1" \ \ \ 4\0 \ \ E \ a. a. \ Z30 \ 137.0388 \ 0 137.0377 \ ~ \ ~20 \ \ 0 to 0 '50 Fig.1. Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B. N. Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer. Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences. It shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed clearly and effectively by NUSAP. Suppose that we wish to forecast what the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers. There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet we are not completely in the dark. There is a long history of expertise in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts' guesses can be translated into mathematical form.
Produkteigenschaften
- Artikelnummer: 9780792307990
- Medium: Buch
- ISBN: 978-0-7923-0799-0
- Verlag: Springer
- Erscheinungstermin: 31.10.1990
- Sprache(n): Englisch
- Auflage: 1990. Auflage 1990
- Serie: Theory and Decision Library A:
- Produktform: Gebunden
- Gewicht: 544 g
- Seiten: 231
- Format (B x H x T): 161 x 244 x 19 mm
- Ausgabetyp: Kein, Unbekannt
Themen
- Sozialwissenschaften
- Politikwissenschaft
- Politikwissenschaft Allgemein
- Politische Theorie, Politische Philosophie
- Sozialwissenschaften
- Soziologie | Soziale Arbeit
- Soziologie Allgemein
- Empirische Sozialforschung, Statistik